Scarlet & Violet 151 grading: inspect the foil treatment
Cosmos-holo and ordinary Gengar records require different comparable sets. The previous article presented an extreme spread as a verified opportunity without adequate sale evidence. This correction uses selected ordinary chase records and does not recommend the unresolved Gengar spread.
What to verify for this topic
English Scarlet & Violet 151 and Japanese 151 are separate markets. Match language, collector number, artwork and foil treatment, then review the actual grade and sale date. A population count cannot establish future scarcity or tell you to buy before an unrelated release.
Dated reference examples
Captured September 5, 2026. These are database reference prices, not independently verified recent sold comparables or buy recommendations. Each linked record identifies its set and source.
Charizard ex #199 — Pokemon Scarlet & Violet 151
Blastoise ex #200 — Pokemon Scarlet & Violet 151
Venusaur ex #198 — Pokemon Scarlet & Violet 151
Zapdos ex #202 — Pokemon Scarlet & Violet 151
| Card | Raw | PSA 10 | Gem rate | Expected net profit | PSA 10 net profit | PSA 10 ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charizard ex #199 | $355.00 | $1410.02 | 29.0% | $205.93 | $846.72 | 222.8% |
| Blastoise ex #200 | $132.50 | $587.50 | 31.0% | $90.11 | $353.62 | 224.5% |
| Venusaur ex #198 | $103.16 | $438.87 | 31.0% | $62.64 | $253.66 | 197.9% |
| Zapdos ex #202 | $88.62 | $398.00 | 30.0% | $50.72 | $232.64 | 204.8% |
Read the model correctly
The comparison uses a $25 PSA Value Bulk model fee and a 13% selling fee. Verify current service eligibility, declared-value limits and possible upcharges before submitting. The table excludes shipping, tax, insurance, supplies and time costs.
Expected net profit weights resale outcomes across the recorded grade distribution, applies the selling fee, and deducts raw and grading costs once. PSA 10 net profit assumes the card receives PSA 10. PSA 10 ROI divides that conditional profit by raw plus grading cost. It is not expected ROI.
Historical population shares are assumptions for this calculation, not personal grading probabilities. Missing grade-price references may use the engine's raw-price fallback; unmodeled outcomes and sparse records can materially change the result. Inspect the current card detail and replace reference inputs with your actual costs and verified sold evidence.
Incomplete outcome pricing in this snapshot: Charizard ex #199; Blastoise ex #200; Zapdos ex #202. Treat their expected results as provisional.
Build a repeatable decision
Open a card record, check the exact variant and source, adjust the purchase assumptions, and save the analysis to your account. Revisit it before buying or submitting. The methodology explains the model; Pro describes the available research features. A saved analysis records a decision assumption, not a realized return.
Correction — September 5, 2026: Removed the unsupported Gengar scarcity narrative, the suggestion that Cosmos foil is newly introduced, invented release catalysts and duplicate cost deductions. The URL is preserved so earlier links lead to the correction. The current table replaces the historical figures with a dated, explicitly labeled model snapshot.