![Ponyta [Toys R Us] #14](https://storage.googleapis.com/images.pricecharting.com/15f0fbee8f167cd4edf4352d9e7f3950f30ba62add4e5f2a09156af0c0ae9a42/1600.jpg)
Pokemon Generations · #14
Should You Grade?
Negative expected value ($-3.42) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. Low grading population — gem rates based on only 71 graded cards may be unreliable, and the market for this card in graded form may be illiquid. The gem rate is only 11% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. Only 28 sales per year — it may take time to find a buyer at full price. PSA 10 profit of $3.76 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
