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Best Pokemon Japanese Heat Wave Arena Cards to Grade

Top 20 Pokemon Japanese Heat Wave Arena Cards by PSA 10 Payoff, All with Positive Expected Value

Looking for the best Pokemon Japanese Heat Wave Arena cards to grade? These are the 20 picks with the highest payoff if the card comes back a PSA 10. Every card here also has positive expected value once every grade outcome is weighted by its real gem rate, so the ranking never recommends a card the math says to skip.

How these numbers work. Expected value weights every PSA grade by how often this card actually earns it, then subtracts the raw price and the $25.00 grading fee. If PSA 10 is the single best-case outcome: PSA 10 price minus raw price minus the grading fee. Selling fees, shipping, and insurance are not deducted — set your own selling fee on any card page.

Prices updated weekly · Last updated September 5, 2026

Misty's Psyduck #22

Positive EV $144.32

Raw $2.04 → PSA 10 $202.50Gem Rate 84%ROI 649%

$175.46

if PSA 10

Misty's Lapras #27

Positive EV $68.73

Raw $1.29 → PSA 10 $120.00Gem Rate 75.9%ROI 356%

$93.71

if PSA 10

Cynthia's Garchomp ex #87

Positive EV $56.73

Raw $200.00 → PSA 10 $292.50Gem Rate 90.8%ROI 30%

$67.50

if PSA 10

Misty's Psyduck #71

Positive EV $48.48

Raw $35.00 → PSA 10 $120.59Gem Rate 83.6%ROI 101%

$60.59

if PSA 10

Ethan's Ho-Oh ex #86

Positive EV $48.95

Raw $130.00 → PSA 10 $213.20Gem Rate 90.7%ROI 38%

$58.20

if PSA 10

Misty's Magikarp #25

Positive EV $33.71

Raw $1.60 → PSA 10 $75.00Gem Rate 76.8%ROI 182%

$48.40

if PSA 10

Misty's Lapras #72

Positive EV $25.44

Raw $19.38 → PSA 10 $83.91Gem Rate 75.4%ROI 89%

$39.53

if PSA 10

Ethan's Adventure #89

Positive EV $10.88

Raw $39.06 → PSA 10 $90.00Gem Rate 66.9%ROI 40%

$25.94

if PSA 10

Ethan's Typhlosion #70

Positive EV $18.85

Raw $14.99 → PSA 10 $64.30Gem Rate 86.4%ROI 61%

$24.31

if PSA 10

Ethan's Ho-oh ex #90

Positive EV $17.39

Raw $20.97 → PSA 10 $68.15Gem Rate 91.1%ROI 48%

$22.18

if PSA 10

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Misty's Gyarados #26

Positive EV $10.43

Raw $2.00 → PSA 10 $45.00Gem Rate 77.3%ROI 67%

$18.00

if PSA 10

Cynthia's Roserade #65

Positive EV $11.51

Raw $8.23 → PSA 10 $49.99Gem Rate 83.5%ROI 50%

$16.76

if PSA 10

Rapidash #69

Positive EV $9.00

Raw $5.87 → PSA 10 $46.41Gem Rate 78.3%ROI 50%

$15.54

if PSA 10

Rotom #74

Positive EV $10.36

Raw $3.15 → PSA 10 $42.31Gem Rate 86%ROI 50%

$14.16

if PSA 10

Zeraora #40

Positive EV $6.74

Raw $1.20 → PSA 10 $39.99Gem Rate 75%ROI 53%

$13.79

if PSA 10

Cynthia's Garchomp ex #80

Positive EV $9.97

Raw $8.00 → PSA 10 $46.23Gem Rate 90.6%ROI 40%

$13.23

if PSA 10

Shaymin #66

Positive EV $8.32

Raw $7.13 → PSA 10 $45.00Gem Rate 83.5%ROI 40%

$12.87

if PSA 10

Ponyta #13

Positive EV $11.60

Raw $2.01 → PSA 10 $38.61Gem Rate 100%ROI 43%

$11.60

if PSA 10

Ethan's Typhlosion #17

Positive EV $5.28

Raw $2.29 → PSA 10 $37.55Gem Rate 81.2%ROI 38%

$10.26

if PSA 10

Misty's Starmie #24

Positive EV $10.01

Raw $1.28 → PSA 10 $36.29Gem Rate 100%ROI 38%

$10.01

if PSA 10

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