Hidden Fates grading: check reverse holos separately
Hidden Fates reverse holos and Shiny Vault cards need separate price and population matches. The name Pikachu or Mew alone is not enough to identify the correct record. Confirm the foil treatment and complete collector number before modeling a submission.
What to verify for this topic
Inspect reflective surfaces under useful lighting and request photographs that reveal scratches. A cheap raw copy may carry wear that explains its price. Compare a plausible lower-grade exit after fees with the acquisition and grading cost, rather than relying on the best-grade spread.
Dated reference examples
Captured September 5, 2026. These are database reference prices, not independently verified recent sold comparables or buy recommendations. Each linked record identifies its set and source.
Charizard GX #SV49 — Pokemon Hidden Fates
Umbreon GX #SV69 — Pokemon Hidden Fates
Pikachu [Reverse Holo] #19 — Pokemon Hidden Fates
Jessie & James #68 — Pokemon Hidden Fates
| Card | Raw | PSA 10 | Gem rate | Expected net profit | PSA 10 net profit | PSA 10 ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charizard GX #SV49 | $633.73 | $1425.00 | 50.0% | $218.19 | $581.02 | 88.2% |
| Umbreon GX #SV69 | $268.86 | $699.00 | 55.0% | $138.92 | $314.27 | 106.9% |
| Pikachu Reverse Holo #19 | $6.62 | $379.17 | 50.0% | $147.01 | $298.26 | 943.3% |
| Jessie & James #68 | $69.00 | $204.50 | 62.0% | $41.18 | $83.91 | 89.3% |
Read the model correctly
The comparison uses a $25 PSA Value Bulk model fee and a 13% selling fee. Verify current service eligibility, declared-value limits and possible upcharges before submitting. The table excludes shipping, tax, insurance, supplies and time costs.
Expected net profit weights resale outcomes across the recorded grade distribution, applies the selling fee, and deducts raw and grading costs once. PSA 10 net profit assumes the card receives PSA 10. PSA 10 ROI divides that conditional profit by raw plus grading cost. It is not expected ROI.
Historical population shares are assumptions for this calculation, not personal grading probabilities. Missing grade-price references may use the engine's raw-price fallback; unmodeled outcomes and sparse records can materially change the result. Inspect the current card detail and replace reference inputs with your actual costs and verified sold evidence.
Incomplete outcome pricing in this snapshot: Charizard GX #SV49; Pikachu [Reverse Holo] #19. Treat their expected results as provisional.
Build a repeatable decision
Open a card record, check the exact variant and source, adjust the purchase assumptions, and save the analysis to your account. Revisit it before buying or submitting. The methodology explains the model; Pro describes the available research features. A saved analysis records a decision assumption, not a realized return.
Correction — September 5, 2026: Removed the incorrect Detective Pikachu set explanation, profit guarantees and the duplicate deduction of costs from net EV. The URL is preserved so earlier links lead to the correction. The current table replaces the historical figures with a dated, explicitly labeled model snapshot.