Phantasmal Flames grading: model each Charizard separately
Mega Charizard X ex #125, #130 and #109 are separate purchases with different model inputs. A standout best-grade price can coexist with a much weaker expected result. Compare the full grade distribution before choosing which record to investigate.
What to verify for this topic
A proposed batch of Meowth or Piplup requires actual sourcing and sold evidence for each condition assumption. The old article's turnover and bulk-profit promises were unsupported. Account for rejected purchases, submission time and unsold inventory when evaluating whether the workflow repeats.
Dated reference examples
Captured September 5, 2026. These are database reference prices, not independently verified recent sold comparables or buy recommendations. Each linked record identifies its set and source.
Mega Charizard X ex #125 — Pokemon Phantasmal Flames
Mega Charizard X ex #130 — Pokemon Phantasmal Flames
Mega Charizard X ex #109 — Pokemon Phantasmal Flames
Meowth #106 — Pokemon Phantasmal Flames
| Card | Raw | PSA 10 | Gem rate | Expected net profit | PSA 10 net profit | PSA 10 ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Charizard X ex #125 | $731.04 | $1917.50 | 66.0% | $553.93 | $912.18 | 120.6% |
| Mega Charizard X ex #130 | $298.90 | $2266.39 | 16.0% | $209.31 | $1647.86 | 508.8% |
| Mega Charizard X ex #109 | $27.80 | $139.50 | 57.0% | $30.34 | $68.56 | 129.9% |
| Meowth #106 | $20.00 | $150.46 | 48.0% | $32.08 | $85.90 | 190.9% |
Read the model correctly
The comparison uses a $25 PSA Value Bulk model fee and a 13% selling fee. Verify current service eligibility, declared-value limits and possible upcharges before submitting. The table excludes shipping, tax, insurance, supplies and time costs.
Expected net profit weights resale outcomes across the recorded grade distribution, applies the selling fee, and deducts raw and grading costs once. PSA 10 net profit assumes the card receives PSA 10. PSA 10 ROI divides that conditional profit by raw plus grading cost. It is not expected ROI.
Historical population shares are assumptions for this calculation, not personal grading probabilities. Missing grade-price references may use the engine's raw-price fallback; unmodeled outcomes and sparse records can materially change the result. Inspect the current card detail and replace reference inputs with your actual costs and verified sold evidence.
Incomplete outcome pricing in this snapshot: Mega Charizard X ex #130; Mega Charizard X ex #109; Meowth #106. Treat their expected results as provisional.
Build a repeatable decision
Open a card record, check the exact variant and source, adjust the purchase assumptions, and save the analysis to your account. Revisit it before buying or submitting. The methodology explains the model; Pro describes the available research features. A saved analysis records a decision assumption, not a realized return.
Correction — September 5, 2026: Removed unsupported market forecasts, guaranteed bulk economics and the suggestion that a lower gem rate can be overcome by a fixed batch size. The URL is preserved so earlier links lead to the correction. The current table replaces the historical figures with a dated, explicitly labeled model snapshot.
