Umbreon grading: compare capital at risk
Karen's Umbreon, Umbreon VMAX and Umbreon ex need separate purchase assumptions. The highest conditional return can also require the greatest raw outlay. Compare modeled expected dollars with your total capital commitment and the resale outcome if the card misses the target grade.
What to verify for this topic
Use the complete set name and collector number when checking an Umbreon listing. Japanese Eevee Heroes and English Evolving Skies records are not interchangeable. Large populations do not measure your inspection skill or remove the risk that a raw seller has already screened the copy.
Dated reference examples
Captured September 5, 2026. These are database reference prices, not independently verified recent sold comparables or buy recommendations. Each linked record identifies its set and source.
Karen's Umbreon #91 — Pokemon Japanese VS
Umbreon VMAX #215 — Pokemon Evolving Skies
Umbreon ex #161 — Pokemon Prismatic Evolutions
Umbreon VMAX #95 — Pokemon Japanese Eevee Heroes
| Card | Raw | PSA 10 | Gem rate | Expected net profit | PSA 10 net profit | PSA 10 ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karen's Umbreon #91 | $1870.63 | $15200.00 | 26.6% | $4238.48 | $11328.37 | 597.6% |
| Umbreon VMAX #215 | $2103.00 | $4275.00 | 71.0% | $1027.61 | $1591.25 | 74.8% |
| Umbreon ex #161 | $1413.71 | $5782.00 | 29.8% | $872.52 | $3591.63 | 249.6% |
| Umbreon VMAX #95 | $2212.95 | $4926.00 | 85.5% | $1721.27 | $2047.67 | 91.5% |
Read the model correctly
The comparison uses a $25 PSA Value Bulk model fee and a 13% selling fee. Verify current service eligibility, declared-value limits and possible upcharges before submitting. The table excludes shipping, tax, insurance, supplies and time costs.
Expected net profit weights resale outcomes across the recorded grade distribution, applies the selling fee, and deducts raw and grading costs once. PSA 10 net profit assumes the card receives PSA 10. PSA 10 ROI divides that conditional profit by raw plus grading cost. It is not expected ROI.
Historical population shares are assumptions for this calculation, not personal grading probabilities. Missing grade-price references may use the engine's raw-price fallback; unmodeled outcomes and sparse records can materially change the result. Inspect the current card detail and replace reference inputs with your actual costs and verified sold evidence.
Incomplete outcome pricing in this snapshot: Karen's Umbreon #91; Umbreon VMAX #215; Umbreon ex #161; Umbreon VMAX #95. Treat their expected results as provisional.
Build a repeatable decision
Open a card record, check the exact variant and source, adjust the purchase assumptions, and save the analysis to your account. Revisit it before buying or submitting. The methodology explains the model; Pro describes the available research features. A saved analysis records a decision assumption, not a realized return.
Correction — September 5, 2026: Removed reversed gem-rate comparisons, unsupported trophy and printing claims, and language implying guaranteed grading success. The URL is preserved so earlier links lead to the correction. The current table replaces the historical figures with a dated, explicitly labeled model snapshot.