Fennel #162
Pokemon Black Bolt · #162 · Ultra Rare · Jul 2025
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$2.01
Expected Value
$-0.37
Net Profit
$1.49
Gem Rate
51.0%
ROI
+9%
Sales / Yr
344
Negative expected value ($-0.37) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $1.49 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$2.01
BGS 10
$48.00
PSA 10
$37.25
BGS 9.5
$24.00
SGC 10
$22.00
CGC 10
$18.50
9
$16.00
8
$10.50
7
$9.95
51.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
57 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 44.0%
Grade Distribution (331 total graded)
331Total
PSA 1016951.1%
PSA 913039.3%
PSA 8309.1%
PSA 710.3%
Below 710.3%