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Lillie's Determination #184

Lillie's Determination #184

Pokemon Mega Evolution · #184 · Special Illustration Rare · Sep 2025

Buy Raw on eBayPSA 10 Sold on eBay
Shop on TCGPlayer

Maybe — Proceed with Caution

Should You Grade?

Raw Price
$70.45
Expected Value
$-1.56
Net Profit
$14.61
Gem Rate
52.0%
ROI
+17%
Sales / Yr
1,212

Negative expected value ($-1.56) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $14.61 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin. This card was released recently (5 months ago). Prices for new releases are volatile — by the time grading is complete, the market price may have shifted. Consider waiting for prices to stabilize.

Best Tier for Flipping

TAG Basic$22.00/card · 30+ business days
Net Profit $42.50
Per-Flip ROI 127%
Annualized 2,340%
Unlock with Pro →

Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.

Profitability by Grading Company

CompanyBest TierGem RatePop10sCostEVNet ProfitROI
PSAPSA Standard52.3%8,4201,250$20.00$85.40$32.50127%
BGSBGS Standard52.3%8,4201,250$20.00$85.40$32.50127%
CGCCGC Standard52.3%8,4201,250$20.00$85.40$32.50127%
SGCSGC Standard52.3%8,4201,250$20.00$85.40$32.50127%
TAGTAG Standard52.3%8,4201,250$20.00$85.40$32.50127%
Compare All Companies with Pro →

Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.

Price by Grade

Raw
$70.45
BGS 10
$446.25
BGS 9.5
$230.00
PSA 10
$189.66
SGC 10
$114.00
CGC 10
$100.06
9
$69.99
8
$51.00
7
$48.33
View Sold PSA 10 Prices on PriceCharting →View Grading Data on GemRate →
0%100%
52.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
🔥1,427 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 49.0%

Grade Distribution (4,962 total graded)

4,962Total
PSA 102,56251.6%
PSA 91,91738.6%
PSA 84058.2%
PSA 7611.2%
Below 7150.3%
© 2026 Should You Grade? Data from PriceCharting & GemRate.
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