Mega Lucario Ex #188
Pokemon Mega Evolution · #188 · Sep 2025
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$262.63
Expected Value
$-2.25
Net Profit
$78.48
Gem Rate
33.0%
ROI
+28%
Sales / Yr
1,562
Negative expected value ($-2.25) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. This card was released recently (5 months ago). Prices for new releases are volatile — by the time grading is complete, the market price may have shifted. Consider waiting for prices to stabilize.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$262.63
BGS 10
$1,060.00
PSA 10
$815.00
SGC 10
$489.00
BGS 9.5
$420.50
CGC 10
$356.11
9
$237.50
8
$230.25
7
$207.50
33.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
🔥1,066 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 26.0%
Grade Distribution (5,064 total graded)
5,064Total
PSA 101,69633.5%
PSA 92,40547.5%
PSA 881716.1%
PSA 7861.7%
Below 7571.1%