Lugia #22

Pokemon Celebrations · #022 · Base · Oct 2021

Buy Raw on eBayPSA 10 Sold on eBay

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Maybe — Proceed with Caution

Should You Grade?

Raw Price

$1.48

Expected Value

$-1.58

Net Profit

$18.54

Gem Rate

9.9%

ROI

+113%

Sales / Yr

1,082

Negative expected value ($-1.58) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 10% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $18.54 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.

Best Tier for Flipping

Unlock with Pro →

Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.

Profitability by Grading Company

Company	Best Tier	Gem Rate	Pop	10s	Cost	EV	Net Profit	ROI
PSA	PSA Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
BGS	BGS Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
CGC	CGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
SGC	SGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
TAG	TAG Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%

Compare All Companies with Pro →

Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.

Price by Grade

Raw

$1.48

BGS 10

$228.00

PSA 10

$175.00

SGC 10

$70.75

CGC 10

$35.02

BGS 9.5

$17.00

$14.07

$12.50

$10.50

View Sold PSA 10 Prices on PriceCharting →View Grading Data on GemRate →

9.9%Gem Rate (PSA 10)

Grade Distribution (4,262 total graded)

4,262Total

PSA 104219.9%

PSA 91,95145.8%

PSA 81,38532.5%

PSA 73608.4%

Below 71323.1%