Hydreigon C #SWSH138
Pokemon Celebrations · #138 · Oct 2021
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$1.75
Expected Value
$-0.94
Net Profit
$6.29
Gem Rate
33.0%
ROI
+38%
Sales / Yr
433
Negative expected value ($-0.94) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $6.29 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$1.75
BGS 10
$105.00
PSA 10
$81.00
SGC 10
$49.00
CGC 10
$23.04
BGS 9.5
$14.99
9
$14.00
8
$9.84
7
$6.83
33.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
241 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 35.0%
Grade Distribution (1,841 total graded)
1,841Total
PSA 1061533.4%
PSA 988448.0%
PSA 823112.5%
PSA 7462.5%
Below 7653.5%