Lumineon V #156
Pokemon Brilliant Stars · #156 · Base · Feb 2022
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$17.02
Expected Value
$-2.90
Net Profit
$1.24
Gem Rate
48.0%
ROI
+4%
Sales / Yr
447
Negative expected value ($-2.90) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $1.24 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$17.02
BGS 10
$163.50
PSA 10
$85.50
SGC 10
$51.00
BGS 9.5
$35.00
CGC 10
$33.26
9
$29.99
8
$15.00
7
$10.00
48.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
42 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 62.0%
Grade Distribution (2,819 total graded)
2,819Total
PSA 101,36548.4%
PSA 91,00435.6%
PSA 830911.0%
PSA 7672.4%
Below 7622.2%