Arceus VSTAR #176
Pokemon Brilliant Stars · #176 · Secret · Jan 2022
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$14.42
Expected Value
$-0.40
Net Profit
$2.58
Gem Rate
58.0%
ROI
+9%
Sales / Yr
530
Negative expected value ($-0.40) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $2.58 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$14.42
BGS 10
$99.91
PSA 10
$83.77
CGC 10
$32.00
BGS 9.5
$28.00
9
$27.00
SGC 10
$23.25
8
$22.13
7
$10.80
58.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
46 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 65.0%
Grade Distribution (3,472 total graded)
3,472Total
PSA 102,03058.5%
PSA 91,09131.4%
PSA 82356.8%
PSA 7521.5%
Below 7601.7%