Professor's Research [Holo] #147

Pokemon Brilliant Stars · #147 · Jan 2022

No — Not Worth Grading

Should You Grade?

Raw Price

$1.32

Expected Value

$-10.38

Net Profit

$-9.07

Gem Rate

4.0%

ROI

-56%

Sales / Yr

Even a PSA 10 would lose $9.07 after the $15.00 grading cost and selling fees. The graded value doesn't justify the investment.

Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.

Company	Best Tier	Gem Rate	Pop	10s	Cost	EV	Net Profit	ROI
PSA	PSA Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
BGS	BGS Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
CGC	CGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
SGC	SGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
TAG	TAG Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%

Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.

Raw

$1.32

BGS 10

$91.00

PSA 10

$69.79

SGC 10

$42.00

$14.00

CGC 10

$7.25

$6.00

4.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)

Past month gem rate: 0.0%

⚠ Small sample size — gem rates based on only 28 graded cards may be unreliable.

28Total

PSA 1013.6%

PSA 9932.1%

PSA 81346.4%

PSA 727.1%

Below 7310.7%