Ampharos ex #16
Pokemon Promo · #016 · Jul 1999
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$4.70
Expected Value
$-5.32
Net Profit
$1.30
Gem Rate
34.4%
ROI
+7%
Sales / Yr
148
Negative expected value ($-5.32) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. Low grading population — gem rates based on only 90 graded cards may be unreliable, and the market for this card in graded form may be illiquid. PSA 10 profit of $1.30 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$4.70
BGS 10
$45.00
PSA 10
$34.23
CGC 10
$21.00
SGC 10
$21.00
BGS 9.5
$15.00
9
$14.25
8
$5.50
34.4%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
+3 graded in 30 days
+6 in 90 days
Grade Distribution (90 total graded)
90Total
PSA 103134.4%
PSA 93741.1%
PSA 81617.8%
Below 755.6%