Lucario ex #17
Pokemon Promo · #017 · May 2023
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$5.16
Expected Value
$-2.03
Net Profit
$1.84
Gem Rate
36.1%
ROI
+9%
Sales / Yr
299
Negative expected value ($-2.03) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $1.84 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$5.16
BGS 10
$48.00
PSA 10
$36.60
CGC 10
$22.00
SGC 10
$22.00
BGS 9.5
$21.00
9
$18.00
8
$16.46
36.1%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
Grade Distribution (108 total graded)
108Total
PSA 103936.1%
PSA 94339.8%
PSA 81715.7%
PSA 743.7%
Below 754.6%