Marill #204
Pokemon Paldea Evolved · #204 · Illustration Rare · Jun 2023
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$51.65
Expected Value
$-5.23
Net Profit
$17.70
Gem Rate
16.6%
ROI
+27%
Sales / Yr
667
Negative expected value ($-5.23) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 17% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $17.70 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$51.65
BGS 10
$560.00
PSA 10
$430.83
SGC 10
$259.00
CGC 10
$84.35
9
$65.65
8
$46.03
BGS 9.5
$31.00
7
$29.99
16.6%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
+58 graded in 30 days
+163 in 90 days
Grade Distribution (4,228 total graded)
4,228Total
PSA 1070016.6%
PSA 92,09949.6%
PSA 81,12026.5%
PSA 72165.1%
Below 7791.9%