Bill's Transfer [Master Ball] #164

Pokemon Japanese Scarlet & Violet 151 · #164 · Jun 2023

Buy Raw on eBayPSA 10 Sold on eBay

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Maybe — Proceed with Caution

Should You Grade?

Raw Price

$10.98

Expected Value

$-11.40

Net Profit

$3.02

Gem Rate

66.8%

ROI

+12%

Sales / Yr

Negative expected value ($-11.40) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. Only 53 sales per year — it may take time to find a buyer at full price. PSA 10 profit of $3.02 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.

Best Tier for Flipping

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Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.

Profitability by Grading Company

Company	Best Tier	Gem Rate	Pop	10s	Cost	EV	Net Profit	ROI
PSA	PSA Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
BGS	BGS Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
CGC	CGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
SGC	SGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
TAG	TAG Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%

Compare All Companies with Pro →

Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.

Price by Grade

Raw

$10.98

BGS 10

$75.00

PSA 10

$57.94

SGC 10

$35.00

CGC 10

$29.00

$18.50

View Sold PSA 10 Prices on PriceCharting →View Grading Data on GemRate →

66.8%Gem Rate (PSA 10)

+3 graded in 30 days

+5 in 90 days

Grade Distribution (404 total graded)

404Total

PSA 1027066.8%

PSA 911929.5%

PSA 8102.5%

PSA 720.5%

Below 730.7%