Greedent ex #179
Pokemon Obsidian Flames · #179 · Base · Aug 2023
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$1.51
Expected Value
$-3.12
Net Profit
$3.49
Gem Rate
43.5%
ROI
+21%
Sales / Yr
279
Negative expected value ($-3.12) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $3.49 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$1.51
BGS 10
$36.00
PSA 10
$27.75
CGC 10
$20.00
9
$11.83
BGS 9.5
$9.19
8
$6.43
SGC 10
$3.71
43.5%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
+2 graded in 30 days
+6 in 90 days
Grade Distribution (184 total graded)
184Total
PSA 108043.5%
PSA 97540.8%
PSA 82010.9%
PSA 742.2%
Below 742.2%