Palafin #200
Pokemon Obsidian Flames · #200 · Illustration Rare · Aug 2023
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$5.00
Expected Value
$-0.53
Net Profit
$15.00
Gem Rate
22.5%
ROI
+75%
Sales / Yr
460
Negative expected value ($-0.53) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 23% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $15.00 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$5.00
BGS 10
$114.00
PSA 10
$87.50
SGC 10
$53.00
CGC 10
$35.00
BGS 9.5
$18.00
9
$16.59
8
$8.80
7
$7.50
22.5%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
+27 graded in 30 days
+112 in 90 days
Grade Distribution (2,351 total graded)
2,351Total
PSA 1053022.5%
PSA 91,30255.4%
PSA 844018.7%
PSA 7552.3%
Below 7190.8%