Bellibolt #201
Pokemon Obsidian Flames · #201 · Illustration Rare · Aug 2023
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$6.04
Expected Value
$-0.89
Net Profit
$5.20
Gem Rate
21.3%
ROI
+25%
Sales / Yr
436
Negative expected value ($-0.89) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 21% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $5.20 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$6.04
BGS 10
$202.00
PSA 10
$155.75
SGC 10
$93.00
CGC 10
$26.24
9
$21.30
BGS 9.5
$19.00
8
$13.83
7
$8.83
21.3%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
Grade Distribution (1,778 total graded)
1,778Total
PSA 1037921.3%
PSA 996654.3%
PSA 834919.6%
PSA 7623.5%
Below 7211.2%