Pidgey #207
Pokemon Obsidian Flames · #207 · Illustration Rare · Aug 2023
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$15.50
Expected Value
$-0.03
Net Profit
$12.97
Gem Rate
22.7%
ROI
+43%
Sales / Yr
599
Negative expected value ($-0.03) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 23% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $12.97 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$15.50
BGS 10
$286.00
PSA 10
$220.00
CGC 10
$43.47
SGC 10
$40.08
9
$26.90
BGS 9.5
$22.00
8
$20.25
7
$11.59
22.7%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
Grade Distribution (5,855 total graded)
5,855Total
PSA 101,33222.7%
PSA 93,18954.5%
PSA 81,07518.4%
PSA 71652.8%
Below 7731.2%