Ryme #221
Pokemon Obsidian Flames · #221 · Ultra Rare · Aug 2023
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$1.10
Expected Value
$-4.84
Net Profit
$0.40
Gem Rate
23.9%
ROI
+2%
Sales / Yr
348
Negative expected value ($-4.84) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 24% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $0.40 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$1.10
BGS 10
$44.00
PSA 10
$34.00
CGC 10
$16.50
BGS 9.5
$12.00
9
$10.99
SGC 10
$8.50
8
$7.50
7
$6.00
23.9%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
Grade Distribution (485 total graded)
485Total
PSA 1011623.9%
PSA 924350.1%
PSA 89619.8%
PSA 7214.3%
Below 771.4%