Geeta #226
Pokemon Obsidian Flames · #226 · Special Illustration Rare · Aug 2023
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$3.86
Expected Value
$-3.82
Net Profit
$6.14
Gem Rate
26.7%
ROI
+33%
Sales / Yr
397
Negative expected value ($-3.82) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 27% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $6.14 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$3.86
BGS 10
$78.00
PSA 10
$59.99
CGC 10
$25.00
SGC 10
$19.50
BGS 9.5
$18.00
9
$13.63
8
$7.75
7
$6.00
26.7%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
Grade Distribution (2,478 total graded)
2,478Total
PSA 1066226.7%
PSA 91,19648.3%
PSA 848419.5%
PSA 71024.1%
Below 7261.0%