Dragonair [Reverse Holo] #158

Pokemon Obsidian Flames · #158 · Reverse Holo · Aug 2023

Buy Raw on eBayPSA 10 Sold on eBay

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Maybe — Proceed with Caution

Should You Grade?

Raw Price

$0.75

Expected Value

$-2.46

Net Profit

$4.25

Gem Rate

44.8%

ROI

+27%

Sales / Yr

303

Negative expected value ($-2.46) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. Low grading population — gem rates based on only 29 graded cards may be unreliable, and the market for this card in graded form may be illiquid. PSA 10 profit of $4.25 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.

Best Tier for Flipping

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Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.

Profitability by Grading Company

Company	Best Tier	Gem Rate	Pop	10s	Cost	EV	Net Profit	ROI
PSA	PSA Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
BGS	BGS Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
CGC	CGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
SGC	SGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
TAG	TAG Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%

Compare All Companies with Pro →

Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.

Price by Grade

Raw

$0.75

BGS 10

$44.00

PSA 10

$33.88

BGS 9.5

$29.00

$20.35

CGC 10

$20.00

SGC 10

$20.00

$5.00

View Sold PSA 10 Prices on PriceCharting →View Grading Data on GemRate →

44.8%Gem Rate (PSA 10)

⚠ Small sample size — gem rates based on only 29 graded cards may be unreliable.

Grade Distribution (29 total graded)

29Total

PSA 101344.8%

PSA 91448.3%

PSA 826.9%