Lucario #79
Pokemon Brilliant Stars · #079 · Base · Jan 2022
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$1.79
Expected Value
$-9.57
Net Profit
$6.21
Gem Rate
25.6%
ROI
+37%
Sales / Yr
41
Negative expected value ($-9.57) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 26% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. Only 41 sales per year — it may take time to find a buyer at full price. PSA 10 profit of $6.21 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$1.79
CGC 10
$23.00
25.6%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
+7 graded in 30 days
+34 in 90 days
Grade Distribution (164 total graded)
164Total
PSA 104225.6%
PSA 98451.2%
PSA 82716.5%
PSA 774.3%
Below 731.8%