Poncho-Wearing Pikachu #38/SM-P

Pokemon Japanese Promo · #038 · Aug 1997

Buy Raw on eBayPSA 10 Sold on eBay

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No — Not Worth Grading

Should You Grade?

Raw Price

$733.35

Expected Value

$-267.64

Net Profit

$-419.51

Gem Rate

50.0%

ROI

-56%

Sales / Yr

Even a PSA 10 would lose $419.51 after the $15.00 grading cost and selling fees. The graded value doesn't justify the investment.

Best Tier for Flipping

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Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.

Profitability by Grading Company

Company	Best Tier	Gem Rate	Pop	10s	Cost	EV	Net Profit	ROI
PSA	PSA Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
BGS	BGS Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
CGC	CGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
SGC	SGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
TAG	TAG Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%

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Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.

Price by Grade

Raw

$733.35

BGS 10

$3,046.00

PSA 10

$2,342.86

SGC 10

$1,406.00

BGS 9.5

$697.00

$687.00

CGC 10

$328.84

$233.52

$187.00

View Sold PSA 10 Prices on PriceCharting →View Grading Data on GemRate →

50.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)

69 graded last month

Past month gem rate: 28.0%

Grade Distribution (2,127 total graded)

2,127Total

PSA 101,06950.3%

PSA 989342.0%

PSA 8833.9%

PSA 7351.6%

Below 7462.2%

eBay Market Signals

3–4 month horizon

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