Squawkabilly ex #75
Pokemon Paldean Fates · #075 · Base · Jan 2024
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$0.94
Expected Value
$-1.82
Net Profit
$4.06
Gem Rate
52.0%
ROI
+25%
Sales / Yr
230
Negative expected value ($-1.82) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. Low grading population — gem rates based on only 85 graded cards may be unreliable, and the market for this card in graded form may be illiquid. PSA 10 profit of $4.06 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$0.94
BGS 10
$51.00
PSA 10
$39.50
SGC 10
$24.00
CGC 10
$20.00
9
$10.54
BGS 9.5
$10.00
52.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
1 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 0.0%
Grade Distribution (85 total graded)
85Total
PSA 104451.8%
PSA 92934.1%
PSA 889.4%
PSA 733.5%