Charcadet #114
Pokemon Paldean Fates · #114 · Jan 2024
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$6.81
Expected Value
$-3.03
Net Profit
$1.11
Gem Rate
48.0%
ROI
+5%
Sales / Yr
410
Negative expected value ($-3.03) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $1.11 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$6.81
BGS 10
$65.00
PSA 10
$50.00
SGC 10
$30.00
CGC 10
$22.92
BGS 9.5
$14.00
9
$14.00
8
$12.40
48.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
3 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 33.0%
Grade Distribution (114 total graded)
114Total
PSA 105548.2%
PSA 95144.7%
PSA 876.1%
Below 710.9%