Glimmet #179
Pokemon Paldean Fates · #179 · Jan 2024
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$2.49
Expected Value
$-4.00
Net Profit
$4.72
Gem Rate
50.0%
ROI
+27%
Sales / Yr
337
Negative expected value ($-4.00) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. Low grading population — gem rates based on only 44 graded cards may be unreliable, and the market for this card in graded form may be illiquid. PSA 10 profit of $4.72 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$2.49
BGS 10
$48.00
PSA 10
$36.92
CGC 10
$22.21
SGC 10
$22.00
BGS 9.5
$9.00
9
$7.99
50.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
Past month gem rate: 0.0%
⚠ Small sample size — gem rates based on only 44 graded cards may be unreliable.
Grade Distribution (44 total graded)
44Total
PSA 102250.0%
PSA 91534.1%
PSA 824.5%
PSA 724.5%
Below 724.5%