Pelipper #204
Pokemon Paldean Fates · #204 · Jan 2024
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$2.99
Expected Value
$-0.14
Net Profit
$2.56
Gem Rate
55.0%
ROI
+14%
Sales / Yr
394
Negative expected value ($-0.14) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. Low grading population — gem rates based on only 83 graded cards may be unreliable, and the market for this card in graded form may be illiquid. PSA 10 profit of $2.56 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$2.99
BGS 10
$85.00
PSA 10
$65.00
SGC 10
$39.00
CGC 10
$20.55
BGS 9.5
$18.00
9
$16.00
55.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
5 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 80.0%
Grade Distribution (83 total graded)
83Total
PSA 104655.4%
PSA 93339.8%
PSA 833.6%
Below 711.2%