Professor's Research #88

Pokemon Paldean Fates · #088 · Base · Jan 2024

No — Not Worth Grading

Should You Grade?

Raw Price

$0.32

Expected Value

$-6.79

Net Profit

$-1.32

Gem Rate

40.0%

ROI

-9%

Sales / Yr

Even a PSA 10 would lose $1.32 after the $15.00 grading cost and selling fees. The graded value doesn't justify the investment.

Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.

Company	Best Tier	Gem Rate	Pop	10s	Cost	EV	Net Profit	ROI
PSA	PSA Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
BGS	BGS Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
CGC	CGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
SGC	SGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
TAG	TAG Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%

Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.

Raw

$0.32

BGS 10

$22.00

PSA 10

$17.00

BGS 9.5

$15.00

CGC 10

$14.00

$13.99

SGC 10

$10.00

40.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)

Past month gem rate: 0.0%

⚠ Small sample size — gem rates based on only 10 graded cards may be unreliable.

10Total

PSA 10440.0%

PSA 9660.0%