Explorer's Guidance #200
Pokemon Temporal Forces · #200 · Ultra Rare · Mar 2024
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$2.38
Expected Value
$-0.21
Net Profit
$3.02
Gem Rate
40.0%
ROI
+17%
Sales / Yr
298
Negative expected value ($-0.21) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $3.02 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$2.38
BGS 10
$61.00
PSA 10
$47.16
SGC 10
$28.00
CGC 10
$20.40
BGS 9.5
$13.00
9
$10.89
8
$8.50
7
$5.50
40.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
3 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 0.0%
Grade Distribution (201 total graded)
201Total
PSA 108140.3%
PSA 99446.8%
PSA 8199.5%
PSA 731.5%
Below 721.0%