PSA update (Sept 19): Standard is open at $59.99 (estimated 90–100 business days). Value tiers remain paused and can be selected on card pages as hold scenarios using their previous fees. PSA Priority is $79.99 (70–80 business days). Historical article examples retain their dated fees. Pricing, limits and details
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Pikachu #199/SM-P — Pokemon Japanese Promo

Pikachu #199/SM-P

Make this your analysis

2. Compare lower-grade outcomes3. Save your assumptions

Confirm edition, language and variant, inspect both sides, and check recent comparable sales. A model result is not a verified buy.

Pokemon Japanese Promo · #199 · Aug 1997

Buy Raw on eBayPSA 10 Sold on eBay
Shop on TCGPlayer

Maybe — Proceed with Caution

Should You Grade?

Raw Price
$638.75
Expected net profit
$245.41
Grade 10 profit
$485.74
Gem Rate
45.0%
Grade 10 ROI
+74%
Sales / Yr
28

Only 28 sales per year — it may take time to find a buyer at full price.

Grade 10 scenario comparison

TAG Basic$22.00/card · 30+ business days
Net Profit $42.50
Grade 10 ROI 127%
Annualized 2,340%
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Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.

Profitability by Grading Company

CompanyBest TierGem RatePop10sCostEVGrade 10 profitGrade 10 ROI
PSAPSA Standard52.3%8,4201,250$20.00$85.40$32.50127%
BGSBGS Standard52.3%8,4201,250$20.00$85.40$32.50127%
CGCCGC Standard52.3%8,4201,250$20.00$85.40$32.50127%
SGCSGC Standard52.3%8,4201,250$20.00$85.40$32.50127%
TAGTAG Standard52.3%8,4201,250$20.00$85.40$32.50127%
Compare All Companies with Pro →

Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.

Check the downside before you buy

Compare the lower-grade reference prices below with your buy price, grading cost and selling fees. Shipping and tax reduce the result further. Missing prices do not establish a resale floor; a population gem rate is not your card's personal probability.

Price by Grade

Raw
$638.75
BGS 10
$3,510.00
PSA 10
$2,700.00
SGC 10
$1,620.00
CGC 10
$1,139.49
BGS 9.5
$936.26
9
$715.00
View Sold PSA 10 Prices on PriceCharting →View Grading Data on GemRate →

Keep this decision for your next review

Save your buy price, grading tier and selling fee. Reopen later against the latest reference data, then save again after reviewing. This does not reserve a card or place an order.

Create a free account to save these assumptions

0%100%
45.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
49 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 37.0%

Grade Distribution (1,738 total graded)

1,738Total
PSA 1077544.6%
PSA 979445.7%
PSA 8955.5%
PSA 7261.5%
Below 7482.8%

eBay Market Signals

3–4 month horizon
Raw
30 days tracked
Active
42
30-day avg listings
Sold/day
2.4
84 resolved
Days to sell
7.0d
p90 21d
Liquidity
62%
sold ÷ listed
Supply 30d
+12.0%
Price 30d
+8.0%
PSA 10
30 days tracked
Active
11
30-day avg listings
Sold/day
0.30
14 resolved
Days to sell
18d
p90 46d
Liquidity
48%
sold ÷ listed
Supply 30d
-6.0%
Price 30d
+14.0%
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Price history

Make the grading decision

Work through the sale alternative, grade risk and cost of tying up your money.

Grade or sell raw?

Compare a submission with the cash you could receive by selling the card today.

How to use a gem rate

Read the sample size and grade distribution before modeling a grading return.

Choosing a submission service? Read the PSA prices and turnaround guide before committing your inventory.

© 2026 Should You Grade? Data from PriceCharting & GemRate.
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