Cassiopeia #86

Pokemon Shrouded Fable · #086 · Ultra Rare · Aug 2024

Buy Raw on eBayPSA 10 Sold on eBay

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Maybe — Proceed with Caution

Should You Grade?

Raw Price

$4.00

Expected Value

$-1.57

Net Profit

$0.25

Gem Rate

47.0%

ROI

+1%

Sales / Yr

419

Negative expected value ($-1.57) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $0.25 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.

Best Tier for Flipping

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Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.

Profitability by Grading Company

Company	Best Tier	Gem Rate	Pop	10s	Cost	EV	Net Profit	ROI
PSA	PSA Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
BGS	BGS Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
CGC	CGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
SGC	SGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
TAG	TAG Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%

Compare All Companies with Pro →

Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.

Price by Grade

Raw

$4.00

BGS 10

$64.00

PSA 10

$49.25

SGC 10

$30.00

CGC 10

$19.25

BGS 9.5

$17.00

$14.53

$12.77

$8.43

View Sold PSA 10 Prices on PriceCharting →View Grading Data on GemRate →

47.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)

4 graded last month

Past month gem rate: 50.0%

Grade Distribution (729 total graded)

729Total

PSA 1034647.5%

PSA 932744.9%

PSA 8415.6%

PSA 791.2%

Below 740.5%