Gouging Fire Ex #144
Pokemon Promo · #144 · Jul 1999
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$1.25
Expected Value
$-0.44
Net Profit
$5.75
Gem Rate
37.0%
ROI
+35%
Sales / Yr
206
Negative expected value ($-0.44) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. Low grading population — gem rates based on only 35 graded cards may be unreliable, and the market for this card in graded form may be illiquid. PSA 10 profit of $5.75 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$1.25
BGS 10
$48.00
PSA 10
$37.00
CGC 10
$22.00
SGC 10
$22.00
BGS 9.5
$19.00
9
$14.00
37.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
1 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 0.0%
⚠ Small sample size — gem rates based on only 35 graded cards may be unreliable.
Grade Distribution (35 total graded)
35Total
PSA 101337.1%
PSA 91954.3%
PSA 838.6%