Larvesta #196
Pokemon Surging Sparks · #196 · Illustration Rare · Nov 2024
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$2.78
Expected Value
$-1.02
Net Profit
$1.11
Gem Rate
26.0%
ROI
+6%
Sales / Yr
289
Negative expected value ($-1.02) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 26% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $1.11 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$2.78
BGS 10
$61.00
BGS 9.5
$61.00
PSA 10
$47.13
CGC 10
$18.89
9
$15.59
SGC 10
$15.00
8
$13.04
26.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
34 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 15.0%
Grade Distribution (1,175 total graded)
1,175Total
PSA 1030826.2%
PSA 970059.6%
PSA 814612.4%
PSA 7131.1%
Below 750.4%