Spheal #199
Pokemon Surging Sparks · #199 · Illustration Rare · Nov 2024
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$7.99
Expected Value
$-0.12
Net Profit
$5.34
Gem Rate
33.0%
ROI
+23%
Sales / Yr
631
Negative expected value ($-0.12) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $5.34 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$7.99
BGS 10
$124.00
PSA 10
$95.00
SGC 10
$57.00
CGC 10
$28.33
9
$19.50
BGS 9.5
$19.00
8
$12.85
7
$8.50
33.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
91 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 23.0%
Grade Distribution (4,254 total graded)
4,254Total
PSA 101,42433.5%
PSA 92,29654.0%
PSA 844110.4%
PSA 7431.0%
Below 7310.7%