Clemont's Quick Wit #229
Pokemon Surging Sparks · #229 · Ultra Rare · Nov 2024
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$2.01
Expected Value
$-1.08
Net Profit
$3.99
Gem Rate
26.0%
ROI
+23%
Sales / Yr
220
Negative expected value ($-1.08) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 26% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $3.99 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$2.01
BGS 10
$46.00
PSA 10
$35.00
CGC 10
$21.00
BGS 9.5
$17.00
9
$15.00
8
$13.43
SGC 10
$2.47
26.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
13 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 8.0%
Grade Distribution (414 total graded)
414Total
PSA 1010926.3%
PSA 923356.3%
PSA 86114.7%
PSA 761.4%
Below 741.0%