
Durant ex #236
Pokemon Surging Sparks · #236 · Special Illustration Rare · Nov 2024
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$27.09
Expected Value
$-0.83
Net Profit
$8.79
Gem Rate
38.0%
ROI
+21%
Sales / Yr
575
Negative expected value ($-0.83) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $8.79 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$27.09
BGS 10
$127.00
PSA 10
$97.78
SGC 10
$59.00
CGC 10
$50.88
9
$28.36
8
$25.00
BGS 9.5
$24.00
7
$16.50
38.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
91 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 46.0%
Grade Distribution (2,838 total graded)
2,838Total
PSA 101,08638.3%
PSA 91,46351.6%
PSA 82619.2%
PSA 7130.5%
Below 7140.5%
