Lisia's Appeal #246
Pokemon Surging Sparks · #246 · Special Illustration Rare · Nov 2024
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$29.00
Expected Value
$-13.39
Net Profit
$3.50
Gem Rate
29.0%
ROI
+8%
Sales / Yr
764
Negative expected value ($-13.39) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 29% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $3.50 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$29.00
BGS 10
$143.00
PSA 10
$110.00
CGC 10
$47.50
SGC 10
$44.55
BGS 9.5
$32.00
9
$24.98
8
$18.02
7
$14.00
29.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
178 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 30.0%
Grade Distribution (6,368 total graded)
6,368Total
PSA 101,84829.0%
PSA 93,64657.3%
PSA 874711.7%
PSA 7741.2%
Below 7410.6%