Chien-Pao #48
Pokemon Japanese Terastal Festival · #048 · Dec 2024
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$1.97
Expected Value
$-1.35
Net Profit
$0.03
Gem Rate
76.0%
ROI
+0%
Sales / Yr
22
Negative expected value ($-1.35) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. Only 22 sales per year — it may take time to find a buyer at full price. PSA 10 profit of $0.03 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$1.97
BGS 10
$38.00
PSA 10
$29.00
CGC 10
$17.00
SGC 10
$17.00
9
$13.02
BGS 9.5
$13.00
76.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
4 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 100.0%
Grade Distribution (128 total graded)
128Total
PSA 109775.8%
PSA 92519.5%
PSA 853.9%
PSA 710.8%