Flareon #SM186
Pokemon Promo · #SM186 · Nov 2016
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$2.37
Expected Value
$-0.35
Net Profit
$7.63
Gem Rate
28.0%
ROI
+44%
Sales / Yr
245
Negative expected value ($-0.35) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 28% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $7.63 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$2.37
BGS 10
$55.00
PSA 10
$42.24
CGC 10
$25.00
SGC 10
$25.00
BGS 9.5
$23.50
9
$18.32
28.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
5 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 0.0%
Grade Distribution (116 total graded)
116Total
PSA 103227.6%
PSA 96051.7%
PSA 81916.4%
PSA 721.7%
Below 732.6%