Nessa #196
Pokemon Vivid Voltage · #196 · Secret · Nov 2020
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$11.30
Expected Value
$-1.12
Net Profit
$3.70
Gem Rate
48.9%
ROI
+14%
Sales / Yr
487
Negative expected value ($-1.12) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $3.70 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$11.30
BGS 10
$184.99
PSA 10
$56.47
CGC 10
$30.00
SGC 10
$29.60
BGS 9.5
$27.00
9
$22.00
8
$19.99
7
$11.01
48.9%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
Grade Distribution (2,151 total graded)
2,151Total
PSA 101,05248.9%
PSA 979436.9%
PSA 81969.1%
PSA 7502.3%
Below 7562.6%