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2. Compare lower-grade outcomes3. Save your assumptionsConfirm edition, language and variant, inspect both sides, and check recent comparable sales. A model result is not a verified buy.
Pokemon Lost Thunder · #160 · Base · Nov 2018
Should You Grade?
Negative expected value ($-4.95) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. Low grading population — gem rates based on only 45 graded cards may be unreliable, and the market for this card in graded form may be illiquid. The gem rate is only 27% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $9.03 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Compare the lower-grade reference prices below with your buy price, grading cost and selling fees. Shipping and tax reduce the result further. Missing prices do not establish a resale floor; a population gem rate is not your card's personal probability.
Save your buy price, grading tier and selling fee. Reopen later against the latest reference data, then save again after reviewing. This does not reserve a card or place an order.
Price history
Work through the sale alternative, grade risk and cost of tying up your money.
Compare a submission with the cash you could receive by selling the card today.
Read the sample size and grade distribution before modeling a grading return.
Choosing a submission service? Read the PSA prices and turnaround guide before committing your inventory.
