N's Plot #165

Pokemon Japanese Black Bolt · #165 · Jun 2025

No — Not Worth Grading

Should You Grade?

Raw Price

$6.50

Expected Value

$1.09

Net Profit

$-5.01

Gem Rate

50.1%

ROI

-23%

Sales / Yr

191

Even a PSA 10 would lose $5.01 after the $15.00 grading cost and selling fees. The graded value doesn't justify the investment.

Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.

Company	Best Tier	Gem Rate	Pop	10s	Cost	EV	Net Profit	ROI
PSA	PSA Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
BGS	BGS Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
CGC	CGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
SGC	SGC Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%
TAG	TAG Standard	52.3%	8,420	1,250	$20.00	$85.40	$32.50	127%

Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.

Raw

$6.50

BGS 10

$67.00

PSA 10

$51.50

BGS 9.5

$35.00

$31.75

SGC 10

$31.00

CGC 10

$16.49

50.1%Gem Rate (PSA 10)

1,050Total

PSA 1052650.1%

PSA 946143.9%

PSA 8504.8%

PSA 760.6%

Below 770.7%