Ninetales ex #186
Pokemon Scarlet & Violet 151 · #186 · Ultra Rare · Sep 2023
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$15.00
Expected Value
$-1.13
Net Profit
$5.23
Gem Rate
38.0%
ROI
+17%
Sales / Yr
537
Negative expected value ($-1.13) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. PSA 10 profit of $5.23 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$15.00
BGS 10
$166.00
PSA 10
$127.50
SGC 10
$35.40
CGC 10
$35.23
9
$27.93
BGS 9.5
$25.00
8
$17.02
7
$13.54
38.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
69 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 33.0%
Grade Distribution (3,443 total graded)
3,443Total
PSA 101,29637.6%
PSA 91,57845.8%
PSA 845113.1%
PSA 7782.3%
Below 7290.8%