Bill's Transfer #194
Pokemon Scarlet & Violet 151 · #194 · Ultra Rare · Sep 2023
Maybe — Proceed with Caution
Should You Grade?
Raw Price
$4.22
Expected Value
$-4.55
Net Profit
$0.77
Gem Rate
26.0%
ROI
+4%
Sales / Yr
318
Negative expected value ($-4.55) — while a PSA 10 would be profitable, the probability-weighted outcome across all grades means you lose money on average at this grading tier. The gem rate is only 26% — you'll need a very clean copy to hit PSA 10. PSA 10 profit of $0.77 is thin — grading fees and selling costs eat most of the margin.
Best Tier for Flipping
Factors in grading cost, turnaround time, and compounding — how fast you can reinvest profits into the next flip.
Profitability by Grading Company
Shows the best-value tier from each grading company based on EV, cost, and turnaround. Pop = total graded population; 10s = grade 10 count.
Price by Grade
Raw
$4.22
BGS 10
$161.00
PSA 10
$123.75
CGC 10
$19.99
BGS 9.5
$15.00
9
$14.00
SGC 10
$9.99
8
$9.96
7
$8.70
26.0%Gem Rate (PSA 10)
27 graded last month
Past month gem rate: 19.0%
Grade Distribution (1,111 total graded)
1,111Total
PSA 1028725.8%
PSA 960054.0%
PSA 819117.2%
PSA 7272.4%
Below 730.3%